<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">mireabulletin</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Russian Technological Journal</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Russian Technological Journal</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2782-3210</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2500-316X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>RTU MIREA</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32362/2500-316X-2020-8-1-21-26</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">mireabulletin-195</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИНФОРМАЦИОННЫЕ СИСТЕМЫ. ИНФОРМАТИКА. ПРОБЛЕМЫ ИНФОРМАЦИОННОЙ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>INFORMATION SYSTEMS. COMPUTER SCIENCES. ISSUES OF INFORMATION SECURITY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Оценка и прогнозирование надежности для высоконадежных программно-аппаратных систем на примере центров обработки данных</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Evaluation and reliability prediction for highly reliable software and hardware systems: The case of data processing centers</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Петушков</surname><given-names>Г. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Petushkov</surname><given-names>G. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Петушков Григорий Валерьевич – аспирант rафедры Вычислительная техника Института Информационных технологий, директор Института молодёжной политики и международных отношений</p><p>119454, Москва, пр-т Вернадского, д. 78</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Gregory V. Petushkov – Postgraduate Student of the Department of Computer Engineering of the Institute of Information Technologies, Director of the Institute of Youth Policy and International Relations</p><p>Vernadskogo pr., 78, A-404, 119454, Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">petushkov@list.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>МИРЭА – Российский технологический университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>MIREA - Russian Technological University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>03</day><month>03</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>8</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>21</fpage><lpage>26</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Петушков Г.В., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Петушков Г.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Petushkov G.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.rtj-mirea.ru/jour/article/view/195">https://www.rtj-mirea.ru/jour/article/view/195</self-uri><abstract><p>Рассматриваются вопросы оценки и прогнозирования надёжности высоконадёжных систем, например, центров обработки данных, включающих большое число серверов. Оценивается частота появления перемежающихся отказов и сбоев программного обеспечения в серверах. Предлагаются методики мониторинга и прогнозирования отказов серверов, исключающие одновременные отказы многих устройств.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Methods for estimating and predicting the reliability levels of highly reliable systems are analyzed, for example, data centers that include a large number of servers. The frequency of interleaved and software failures on servers is estimated. Methods for monitoring and forecasting server failures are proposed, which exclude simultaneous failures of many devices.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>высоконадёжные программно-аппаратные системы</kwd><kwd>многопроцессорные серверы</kwd><kwd>оценки надёжности аппаратной и программной части</kwd><kwd>прогнозирование надёжности</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>highly reliable software and hardware systems</kwd><kwd>multiprocessor servers</kwd><kwd>reliability assessment of hardware and software</kwd><kwd>reliability prediction</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Кирпичников А.П., Васильев С.Н. Особенности современной микроэлектроники и вопросы построения систем управления высокой надежности и безопасности. Надежность. 2017;17(3):10-16. http://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2017-17-3-10-16</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kirpichnikov A.P., Vasiliev S.N. Particular characteristics of today’s microelectronics and matters of highly dependable and secure control systems design. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2017;17(3):10-16 (in Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2017-17-3-10-16</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Долгополов Б.А., Зайко Ю.Г., Михайлов В.А. Метод определения долговечности микросхем. Н ность. 2019;19(3):3-6. http://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2019-19-3-3-6</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Dolgopolov B.A., Zayko Y.G., Mikhaylov V.A. A method of identifying the durability indicator of microcircuitry. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2019;19(3):3-6 (in Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2019-19-3-3-6</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Егоров И.В. Имитационная модель надежности резервированной вычислительной системы с периодическим восстановлением информации. Надежность. 2018;18(3):10-17. http://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2018-18-3-10-17</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Egorov I.V. Simulation model of dependability of redundant computer systems with recurrent information recovery. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2018;18(3):10-17 (in Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2018-18-3-10-17</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Потапов И.В. Проблематика в области надежности программных систем. Надежность. 2015;(1):53-61. http://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2015-11-1-53-61</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Potapov I.V. Issues of software systems dependability. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2015;(1):53-61 (in Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2015-0-1-53-61</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Алпеев А.С. Терминология надежности. Надежность. 2016;16(4):43-45. http://doi.org/10.21683/17292646-2016-16-4-43-45</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Alpeiev A.S. Definitions of dependability. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2016;16(4):43-45 (in Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2016-16-4-43-45</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шубинский И.Б. Надежные отказоустойчивые информационные системы. М.: ООО "Журнал "Надежность", 2016. 544 с. ISBN 978-5-7572-0399-7</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Shubinskii I.B. Nadezhnye otkazoustoichivye informatsionnye sistemy (Reliable fail-safe information systems). M.: “Zhurnal “Nadezhnost՚”; 2016. 544 p. (in Russ.) ISBN 978-5-7572-0399-7</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Антонов А.В., Галивец Е.Ю., Чепурко В.А., Черняев А.Н. Анализ дерева отказов в среде программирования R. Надежность. 2018;18(1):4-13. http://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2018-18-1-4-13</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Antonov A.V., Galivets E.Y., Chepurko V.A., Cherniaev A.N. Fault tree analysis in the R programming environment. Nadezhnost՚ = Dependability. 2018;18(1):4-13 (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2018-18-1-4-13</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Громов Ю.Ю., Иванова О.Г., Мосягина Н.Г., Набатов К.А. Надежность информационных систем. Тамбов: Изд-во ГОУ ВПО ТГТУ, 2010. 160 с. ISBN 978-5-8265-0911-1</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Gromov Yu.Yu., Ivanova O.G., Mosyagina N.G., Nabatov K.A. Nadezhnost՚ informatsionnykh system (Reliability of information systems). Tambov: Izd-vo GOU VPO TGTU; 2010. 160 p. (in Russ.) ISBN 978-5-8265-0911-1</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Лаврищева Е.М., Петрухин В.А. Методы и средства инженерии программного обеспечения: учебное пособие. М.: МФТИ, 2006. 304 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lavrishcheva E.M., Petrukhin V.A. Metody i sredstva inzhenerii programmnogo obespecheniya: uchebnoe posobie (Methods and means of software engineering). Moscow: MFTI; 2006. 304 p. (in Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Половко А.М., Гуров С.В. Основы теории надежности. СПб.: БХВ-Петербург, 2006. 560 с. ISBN 5-94157-542-4</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Polovko A.M., Gurov S.V. Osnovy teorii nadezhnosti (Fundamentals of reliability theory). Sankt Peterburg: BKhV-Peterburg; 2006. 560 р. (in Russ.) ISBN 5-94157-542-4</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Черкесов Г.Н. Надежность аппаратно-программных комплексов. СПб.: Питер, 2005. 479 с. ISBN 5-469-00102-4</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Cherkesov G.N. Nadezhnost՚ apparatno-programmnykh kompleksov (Reliability of hardware and software systems). Sankt Peterburg: Piter; 2005. 479 р. (in Russ.) ISBN 5-469-00102-4</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Иыуду К.А. Надежность, контроль и диагностика вычислительных машин и систем. М.: Высшая школа, 1989. 216 с. ISBN 5-06-000130-X</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Iyudu K.A. Nadezhnost՚, kontrol՚ i diagnostika vychislitel՚nykh mashin i system (Reliability, control and diagnostics of computers and systems). Moscow: Vysshaya shkola; 1989. 216 p. (in Russ.) ISBN 5-06-000130-X</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Коваленко С.М. Платонова О.В. Анализ задачи эффективной эксплуатации комплексов систем автоматизации и расчеты надежности на основе непрерывных моделей. Известия ВУЗов. Машиностроение. 2014;8(653):75-79. http://dx.doi.org/10.18698/0536-1044-2014-8-75-79</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kovalenko S.V., Platonova O.V. Analysis of the operational efficiency of complex automation systems and the calculation of their reliability on the basis of continuous models. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedenii. Mashinostroenie = Proceedings of Higher Educational Institutions. Маchine Building. 2014;8(653):75-79 (in Russ.) http://dx.doi.org/10.18698/0536-1044-2014-8-75-79</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Коваленко С.М. Оценка надежности информационно-управляющих систем на основе непрерывных моделей. Вопросы радиоэлектроники. 2005;4(2):143-146.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kovalenko S.M. Reliability assessment of information management systems based on continuous models. Voprosy radioelektroniki = Issues of radio electronics. 2005;4(2):143-146 (in Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Хеннесси Джон Л., Паттерсон Дэвид А. Компьютерная архитектура. Количественный подход, 5-е изд. М.: ТЕХНОСФЕРА, 2016. 935 с. ISBN 978-5-94836-413-1</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Hennessey John L., Patterson David A. Komp՚yuternaya arkhitektura. Kolichestvennyi podkhod (Computer Architecture). Moscow: TEKhNOSFERA; 2016. 935 p. (in Russ.) ISBN 978-5-94836-413-1</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
